Statewide · Incumbent: Greg Abbott
Texas Governor
Abbott has run Texas since 2014 and wants a fourth term. Three late-July polls, from TPOR, Fox News/Beacon and Texas A&M's Bush School, all had him under 3 points ahead of Hinojosa: his tightest position on a statewide ballot yet.
The desk’s rating
Leans Republican
Democrat
Gina Hinojosa
Former State Rep HD-49 (Austin); won D primary
- Cash on hand
- $618K
- Raised
- None
- Spent
- None
Republican · Incumbent
Greg Abbott
Seeking 4th term
- Cash on hand
- $105.70M
- Raised
- $22.70M
- Spent
- None
Money
Greg Abbott holds 171x as much cash.
Cash on hand as reported in each campaign’s latest filing (as of Feb 2026 and Jan 2026). Full finance records
The desk’s notes
Statewide race. Abbott has dominated Texas since 2014 and won by 11 points in 2022, but three polls taken in the back half of July 2026 found his tightest margin yet: Texas Public Opinion Research (July 15-17, 1,048 likely voters) had him up 45-42; Fox News/Beacon Research (July 23-27, 1,006 registered voters) put it at a statistical tie, 50-49; and ReconMR for Texas A&M's Bush School (July 27-30, 619 likely voters) had him up just 46-45.
A Yahoo News/Newsweek polling roundup published Aug. 6, 2026 noted Abbott's unfavorable rating (51%) has overtaken his favorable rating (48%). Hinojosa is a former state representative from Austin who won the Democratic nomination.
What changed
August 10
Safe RLean R
Three late-July polls all had Abbott within 3 points of Hinojosa, his tightest statewide position yet.
Source: TPOR; Fox News/Beacon; Texas A&M Bush School
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