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The Harris County Project

Election desk · November 3, 2026 general

93 races are on the Harris County ballot. 23 are in play.

Every contest from U.S. Senate to justice of the peace, rated from Safe Democratic to Safe Republican and backed by the last result, the money on hand, and what changed this cycle.

What’s on your ballot?

Enter a Harris County address. You’ll get every race you vote in, in ballot order.

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23

31

13

3

7

1

15

Early vote · day 12 of 12

1,082,448

ballots through Oct. 30 · +44% vs 2022

Democratic primary32.6%Republican primary20.9%No primary46.4%

86.0% of March's Democratic primary voters have voted, 84.8% of Republican primary voters.

Who’s voting

Top of the ticket

Both seats are open for the first time in years

Races to watch

Three toss-ups and 20 leaning races, closest first

All 23 competitive races
CD 7Toss-up

U.S. Representative, District 7

Lizzie Fletcher

Inc.$1.70M

Alexander Hale

$6K

Share of cash on hand

The county's only congressional toss-up. Fletcher flipped it in 2018 and has held on every cycle; Hale carries national Republican money.

Last general, 2024, old district lines

D 63%D+25.437% R
CCL 14Toss-up

County Criminal Court at Law No. 14

Yahaira Quezada

$5K

Jessica N. Padilla

Inc.$6K

Share of cash on hand

The inversion race: R incumbent Padilla defends a countywide bench in a county Democrats have swept since 2018.

Baseline, 2024

D 50%D+0.450% R
JP 5, Pl. 2 · Open seatToss-up

Justice of the Peace PCT 5 PL 2

Lisa Jefferson

$3K

Mark Fury

No cash

Share of cash on hand

Incumbent Bob Wolfe lost his own primary to Fury, so both names on the ballot are new. A genuine toss-up precinct.

Last general, 2024

D 49%R+3.052% R
Statewide · Open seatLean D

U.S. Senate

James Talarico

$21.55M

Ken Paxton

$2.60M

Share of cash on hand

Talarico 72%Kalshi · 30K open28% Paxton

No incumbent: Paxton beat Cornyn in the May Republican runoff, and Talarico beat Crockett in the Democratic one. A July 28 poll had Talarico up 45-40, taken after a ProPublica/Texas Tribune report alleged Paxton voted from a former address. On Aug. 5 the Tribune reported Talarico had his own residency lapse, voting from his parents' address for two years after buying his own home.

Last general, 2024

D 56%D+11.644% R
Countywide · Open seatLean D

Harris County Judge

Letitia Plummer

$70K

Orlando Sanchez

$133K

Share of cash on hand

Hidalgo isn't running. Plummer won her runoff over Parker by 2,498 votes; Sanchez took his by 35,937.

Baseline, 2024

D 53%D+5.647% R
StatewideLean R

Texas Governor

Gina Hinojosa

$618K

Greg Abbott

Inc.$105.70M

Share of cash on hand

Hinojosa 28%Kalshi · 17K open72% Abbott

Abbott has run Texas since 2014 and wants a fourth term. Three late-July polls, from TPOR, Fox News/Beacon and Texas A&M's Bush School, all had him under 3 points ahead of Hinojosa: his tightest position on a statewide ballot yet.

Last general, 2022

D 55%D+9.845% R
Statewide · Open seatLean R

Texas Attorney General

Nathan Johnson

$758K

Mayes Middleton

$10.00M

Share of cash on hand

Paxton's old job. Middleton beat Chip Roy 56-44 in the runoff after running as 'MAGA Mayes'; Dallas state senator Nathan Johnson won the D runoff over Jaworski. A July poll had them nearly tied, 39-38.

Baseline, 2024

D 53%D+5.647% R
CD 38 · Open seatLean R

U.S. Representative, District 38

Melissa McDonough

$37K

Jon Bonck

$846K

Share of cash on hand

Open because Wesley Hunt ran for U.S. Senate and lost his primary.

Last general, 2024, old district lines

D 37%R+25.663% R
CD 9 · Open seatLean R

U.S. Representative, District 9

Leticia Gutierrez

$6K

Alex Mealer

$415K

Share of cash on hand

Republicans redrew this majority-Hispanic seat after 2024, adding deep-red Liberty County. Mealer lost the 2022 county-judge race by 0.9 points.

Last general, 2022, old district lines

D 78%D+56.622% R

The county, precinct by precinct

Every 2024 precinct, raised by the votes it cast

Open the precinct map

Latest from the desk

Updated August 10

  1. Aug 10

    Rating

    Texas GovernorSafe RLean R

    Three late-July polls all had Abbott within 3 points of Hinojosa, his tightest statewide position yet.

    Source: TPOR; Fox News/Beacon; Texas A&M Bush School

  2. Aug 10

    News

    U.S. Senate

    The Tribune reported Talarico voted from his parents' address for two years after buying his own home.

    Source: Texas Tribune, Aug. 5

  3. Aug 10

    News

    Texas Comptroller

    Huffines was sworn in as acting comptroller Aug. 1 and now runs as the sitting officeholder.

    Source: Texas Tribune

  4. Aug 10

    News

    Lt. Governor of Texas

    Two polls fielded the same week disagree: one has Goodwin up 2, the other has Patrick up 7.

    Source: Texas A&M Bush School; Texas Southern University

  5. Aug 7

    Rating

    Texas Attorney GeneralSafe RLean R

    A July poll found Middleton and Johnson nearly tied, 39 to 38, with 18 percent undecided.

    Source: Texas Public Opinion Research

  6. Aug 7

    Correction

    District Clerk

    Corrected: Darrell Jordan Jr. won the Democratic runoff, 77,122 to 32,116. He is the nominee.

    Source: Harris County canvass

  7. Jul 27

    Money

    Harris County Judge

    Sanchez outraised Plummer in the last period and holds $132,680 to her $70,161.

    Source: Filings published July 22

Ratings are the desk’s judgment, built from past results, registration, money and reported polling. How we rate races.

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